SBI Shares Attract Attention Ahead of September-Quarter Earnings

State Bank of India (SBI), the country's largest public sector lender, is set to announce its financial results for the second quarter of FY27 on November 3, 2026, placing the bank's shares in focus as investors assess credit growth, deposit mobilisation, profitability and asset quality.

The bank's Central Board is scheduled to meet in Mumbai to consider and approve the financial results for the quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2026.

An analyst meeting is scheduled for 5:15 PM IST following the declaration of results.

Market participants will closely examine the bank's net interest income, net interest margin, loan growth, deposit trends, provisions and non-performing assets.

Brokerage estimates indicate that SBI could report double-digit growth in net interest income, supported by continued credit expansion.

However, expectations of modest margin compression and the impact of previous-year exceptional income have created uncertainty around the headline profit comparison.

The earnings announcement will provide an important assessment of the operating performance of India's largest state-owned bank and the broader public sector banking industry.

SBI Q2 FY27 Results: Key Details

Particulars

Details

Company

State Bank of India

NSE Symbol

SBIN

BSE Code

500112

Reporting period

July–September 2026

Financial year

FY 2026–27

Board meeting

November 3, 2026

Analyst meeting

November 3, 2026, at 5:15 PM IST

Main earnings indicators

Net profit, NII and NIM

Business indicators

Advances and deposit growth

Asset quality indicators

Gross NPA, net NPA and credit costs

Key investor concern

Sustainable profitability amid funding-cost pressures

The results are expected to provide greater clarity on SBI's ability to sustain credit growth while protecting lending margins.

Analysts Expect Double-Digit Growth in Net Interest Income

Brokerage estimates indicate that SBI's net interest income could increase approximately 11%–13% year-on-year during Q2 FY27.

Net interest income represents the difference between interest earned on loans and investments and interest paid on deposits and other borrowings.

It is a key indicator of a bank's core lending profitability.

Analysts estimate SBI's second-quarter NII at approximately ₹47,850 crore to ₹48,563 crore.

The projections reflect expectations of continued expansion in the bank's loan portfolio.

However, the pace of growth will depend on lending yields, deposit costs and the composition of interest-earning assets.

Sequential NII growth is expected to remain positive, although estimates vary among brokerages.

A stronger-than-expected performance could indicate that loan growth is helping offset margin pressure.

Conversely, weaker NII growth could raise concerns about the bank's ability to maintain profitability as funding costs evolve.

SBI Q2 FY27 Analyst Earnings Estimates

Financial Indicator

Analyst Expectations

Net interest income

₹47,850 crore–₹48,563 crore

NII growth

Approximately 11%–13% YoY

Net profit

₹20,378 crore–₹25,250 crore

Net interest margin

Approximately 2.81%–2.83%

Sequential margin movement

Decline of approximately 3–5 basis points

Deposit growth

Approximately 12% YoY

Loan growth

Approximately 19%–21% YoY

Asset quality

Stable performance expected, subject to reported slippages and provisions

These figures represent brokerage forecasts rather than reported Q2 FY27 financial results.

Net Profit Estimates Range From ₹20,378 Crore to ₹25,250 Crore

SBI's quarterly net profit is expected to attract significant attention because of the wide range of analyst estimates.

Brokerage forecasts place profit after tax between approximately ₹20,378 crore and ₹25,250 crore.

The range reflects differing assumptions regarding net interest income, provisions, operating expenses and other income.

The bank reported standalone net profit of approximately ₹20,160 crore during Q2 FY26.

However, that quarter included a substantial gain from the sale of SBI's stake in Yes Bank.

The transaction contributed approximately ₹4,593 crore to the previous year's results.

This exceptional income complicates the year-on-year profit comparison.

Investors will therefore need to examine recurring earnings rather than relying exclusively on headline profit growth.

Previous-Year Yes Bank Stake Sale Affects Profit Comparison

SBI's September 2025 quarter benefited from the sale of a portion of its holding in Yes Bank.

The transaction generated a substantial gain that supported reported profitability.

Such income is different from recurring revenue generated through lending and other banking operations.

Consequently, a comparison between Q2 FY27 and Q2 FY26 profits may not fully reflect changes in the underlying banking business.

Analysts will assess operating profit before provisions, net interest income and recurring fee income to obtain a clearer picture of performance.

Provisioning expenses will also influence the final profit figure.

A lower credit cost can support net earnings even if margins remain under pressure.

However, sustainable profitability ultimately depends on the bank's ability to generate recurring income while maintaining asset quality.

SBI Entered Q2 FY27 With Strong First-Quarter Performance

SBI reported a record standalone net profit of approximately ₹21,121 crore during Q1 FY27.

The performance reflected strong credit growth, improved net interest income and stable asset quality.

Net interest income reached approximately ₹46,992 crore, representing year-on-year growth of nearly 15%.

Gross advances increased approximately 18.6% year-on-year.

Deposits grew approximately 9.7%.

The bank reported a domestic net interest margin of approximately 3%.

Asset quality remained relatively stable, with gross non-performing assets at approximately 1.47% and net non-performing assets at 0.38%.

These figures provide an important baseline for assessing the September-quarter results.

SBI Q1 FY27 Financial and Operating Performance

Indicator

Q1 FY27 Reported Performance

Standalone net profit

₹21,121 crore

Net interest income

₹46,992 crore

NII growth

Approximately 14.9% YoY

Gross advances growth

Approximately 18.6% YoY

Deposit growth

Approximately 9.7% YoY

Domestic net interest margin

Approximately 3.00%

Gross NPA ratio

Approximately 1.47%

Net NPA ratio

Approximately 0.38%

The figures show that SBI entered the second quarter with a strong operating base.

However, the September-quarter results will determine whether the momentum continued.

Loan Growth Remains a Major Earnings Driver

Loan growth is expected to remain one of the most closely monitored indicators in SBI's quarterly results.

A larger loan portfolio can support interest income and overall banking revenue.

However, credit expansion must be accompanied by adequate funding and prudent risk management.

Analysts expect SBI's advances to grow approximately 19%–21% year-on-year.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services estimates that the loan book could reach approximately ₹51.8 lakh crore.

JM Financial projects advances of approximately ₹52.67 lakh crore.

The differences reflect varying assumptions about sequential growth.

Investors will examine the contribution from retail lending, corporate loans, small and medium enterprises and agricultural credit.

Broad-based credit growth can support diversification.

However, the profitability of different lending categories depends on pricing, funding costs and credit risk.

Corporate and SME Lending Expected to Support Growth

Corporate lending and small and medium enterprise financing remain important parts of SBI's loan portfolio.

Investment activity among businesses can create demand for working capital and long-term financing.

SME lending may also benefit from increased formalisation and expansion of business activity.

However, lending growth in these segments depends on borrower demand and creditworthiness.

Banks must evaluate repayment capacity, collateral and sector-specific risks.

Strong corporate credit demand can support loan growth.

Nevertheless, higher lending volumes do not automatically produce stronger margins.

Competitive pricing and the cost of deposits influence the profitability of new loans.

SBI's management commentary on the composition of advances will therefore be important.

Retail Lending Provides Diversification

Retail banking is another important component of SBI's lending operations.

The bank offers home loans, personal loans, vehicle loans and other consumer credit products.

Retail lending can provide a diversified customer base and recurring interest income.

However, different products have different risk characteristics.

Secured lending, such as housing finance, generally differs from unsecured personal lending in collateral protection and pricing.

Investors will monitor growth in SBI's retail loan portfolio alongside delinquency trends.

Strong retail credit growth can support earnings, but rapid expansion requires careful underwriting.

The bank's ability to maintain asset quality while growing its retail portfolio will be important to its medium-term outlook.

Deposit Growth Becomes Critical to Credit Expansion

Deposit mobilisation is expected to be a central theme in SBI's earnings review.

Banks depend on deposits and other funding sources to support lending.

When credit grows faster than deposits, lenders may need to rely more heavily on alternative funding or offer higher deposit rates.

This can influence interest expenses and net interest margins.

Brokerage estimates suggest that SBI's deposits could grow approximately 12% year-on-year.

Motilal Oswal projects deposits of approximately ₹62.7 lakh crore.

JM Financial estimates approximately ₹62.76 lakh crore.

These forecasts imply a sequential improvement in deposit mobilisation.

Investors will assess whether the bank can sustain strong credit growth without materially increasing its cost of funds.

CASA Deposits Remain Important to Funding Costs

Current account and savings account deposits are commonly referred to as CASA deposits.

These deposits generally carry lower interest costs than many term deposit products.

A strong CASA base can therefore support a bank's funding advantage.

SBI has historically benefited from its extensive branch network and large retail deposit franchise.

However, competition for deposits can influence customer preferences and funding costs.

Higher interest rates on term deposits may encourage customers to shift funds away from lower-cost accounts.

Investors will monitor SBI's CASA ratio and the growth of retail term deposits.

A decline in the share of low-cost deposits could place pressure on net interest margins.

Conversely, stronger CASA mobilisation could help protect profitability.

Net Interest Margins Expected to Moderate

Analysts expect SBI's net interest margin to decline modestly during Q2 FY27.

Net interest margin measures net interest income relative to average interest-earning assets.

It indicates how effectively a bank earns income from lending and investment activities after accounting for funding costs.

Brokerage forecasts suggest a sequential decline of approximately three to five basis points.

Motilal Oswal estimates a margin of 2.83%.

Dolat Capital projects approximately 2.81%.

The estimates reflect expectations of continued pressure from deposit costs and lending yields.

The precise outcome will depend on changes in loan pricing, deposit composition and the bank's funding structure.

A smaller-than-expected decline could support investor confidence.

A sharper contraction could raise concerns about the sustainability of earnings growth.

Domestic and Overall NIM Must Be Distinguished

SBI reports net interest margins across different operating measures.

The domestic net interest margin may differ from the overall margin because of the bank's international operations and balance-sheet composition.

This distinction is important when comparing analyst estimates with previously reported figures.

For example, the bank reported a domestic NIM of approximately 3% during Q1 FY27.

Some Q2 FY27 brokerage forecasts refer to an overall margin closer to 2.8%.

These measures should not be compared directly without accounting for their different calculation bases.

Investors should use consistent definitions when evaluating sequential or year-on-year changes.

The bank's official results will provide the relevant reported figures.

Asset Quality Remains a Central Investor Concern

Asset quality is another important determinant of SBI's profitability.

Banks classify loans as non-performing when borrowers fail to meet specified repayment requirements.

The gross NPA ratio measures non-performing assets relative to total advances.

The net NPA ratio accounts for provisions and certain other adjustments.

SBI reported a gross NPA ratio of approximately 1.47% during Q1 FY27.

Its net NPA ratio stood at approximately 0.38%.

These levels provide a relatively favourable starting point for the September quarter.

However, asset quality can change with economic conditions and borrower repayment performance.

Investors will monitor fresh slippages, recoveries, write-offs and provisioning requirements.

Credit Costs Can Influence Quarterly Profit

Credit cost is an important measure of the expense associated with potential loan losses.

Banks create provisions to account for expected or identified credit risks.

Higher provisioning can reduce quarterly profit.

Lower provisioning may support earnings.

However, a reduction in credit costs is sustainable only when supported by sound asset quality.

Investors will assess whether SBI's provisioning reflects underlying loan performance.

They will also monitor changes in stressed assets across retail, agricultural, SME and corporate portfolios.

A stable credit cost could help offset modest margin pressure.

Conversely, an unexpected increase in provisions could reduce net profit even if loan growth remains strong.

Agricultural Lending and Unsecured Credit Require Monitoring

Agricultural lending is an important component of SBI's banking operations.

The performance of agricultural loans can be influenced by weather conditions, crop income and repayment cycles.

Changes in rural economic conditions may affect borrower repayment capacity.

Unsecured consumer lending also requires attention because these loans do not benefit from the same collateral protection as secured products.

Banks must balance credit expansion with appropriate risk controls.

SBI's management commentary on these segments will help investors evaluate potential changes in asset quality.

However, exposure to a particular lending category does not automatically imply deterioration.

Actual repayment trends and reported credit costs remain the relevant indicators.

Operating Expenses and Efficiency Affect Earnings

Operating costs influence the amount of income that banks convert into profit.

SBI incurs expenditure associated with employees, branches, technology and other administrative activities.

The bank's extensive distribution network provides access to a large customer base.

However, it also creates operating expenses.

Digital banking and automation may support efficiency improvements over time.

Investors will monitor the cost-to-income ratio and operating profit.

A lower cost-to-income ratio generally indicates stronger operating efficiency, although comparisons should account for business mix and exceptional income.

The bank's ability to manage expenses while expanding lending and digital services will remain important.

Digital Banking and YONO Support Customer Engagement

SBI's YONO platform is an important part of its digital banking strategy.

The platform provides customers with access to banking and financial services through digital channels.

Digital banking can reduce dependence on certain branch-based processes and improve customer convenience.

It may also support customer acquisition and product distribution.

However, technology investment involves development, maintenance and cybersecurity costs.

The financial benefits depend on customer adoption and operational efficiency.

Investors will monitor how SBI uses digital channels to support deposit mobilisation, lending and fee income.

The bank's ability to combine its physical network with digital services remains an important competitive factor.

SBI Subsidiaries Add to Consolidated Earnings

SBI operates a diversified financial services group through subsidiaries and associates.

Its businesses include life insurance, general insurance, asset management, investment banking and other financial services.

These operations can contribute to consolidated profitability.

However, the performance of individual subsidiaries may differ from the standalone banking business.

Investors should therefore distinguish between standalone and consolidated financial results.

Standalone figures primarily reflect the bank's own operations.

Consolidated figures incorporate the financial performance of relevant group entities under applicable accounting rules.

Both measures are important, but they serve different analytical purposes.

SBI's Performance Influences PSU Banking Sentiment

State Bank of India is one of the most closely followed stocks in India's public sector banking industry.

Its financial results can influence investor expectations for other state-owned lenders.

Strong loan growth, stable margins and improving asset quality may support confidence in the sector.

However, the performance of individual public sector banks can differ because of variations in deposit franchises, loan portfolios and provisioning requirements.

SBI's results should therefore be considered an important sector indicator rather than a direct substitute for the earnings of other banks.

Investors will also compare its performance with major private sector lenders.

The comparison will focus on profitability, growth, funding costs and asset quality.

What Could Influence SBI Shares After the Results?

The market reaction to SBI's earnings will depend on the difference between reported results and investor expectations.

A stronger-than-expected profit figure may support sentiment if accompanied by healthy core operating performance.

However, a profit increase driven mainly by non-recurring income may receive a different market response.

Similarly, strong loan growth could be viewed positively, but investors will assess whether it has been achieved without excessive margin compression or deterioration in asset quality.

Management guidance will also be important.

Comments on future credit growth, deposit mobilisation and net interest margins may influence earnings forecasts.

Consequently, the direction of SBI shares cannot be determined from the headline profit figure alone.

Key Indicators Investors Will Monitor

Indicator

Why It Matters

Standalone net profit

Measures bottom-line performance

Net interest income

Tracks core lending earnings

Net interest margin

Indicates lending profitability

Gross advances

Measures credit expansion

Deposit growth

Assesses funding capacity

CASA ratio

Indicates low-cost deposit strength

Gross NPA ratio

Measures overall asset quality

Net NPA ratio

Reflects residual stressed assets

Fresh slippages

Indicates new loan stress

Credit cost

Measures provisioning pressure

Operating profit

Tracks core banking profitability

Cost-to-income ratio

Indicates operational efficiency

Management guidance

Shapes future earnings expectations

Consolidated earnings

Reflects group-level performance

These indicators will provide a more complete assessment of SBI's financial position than quarterly profit alone.

Outlook for SBI in FY27

SBI enters the second half of FY27 with expectations of continued credit growth and relatively stable asset quality.

Analysts expect loan growth to remain strong, supported by demand across retail, corporate and SME lending.

However, deposit mobilisation will be important in determining whether the bank can sustain this expansion without significantly increasing funding costs.

Net interest margins are expected to remain under modest pressure.

The bank's ability to maintain profitability will therefore depend on a combination of loan growth, funding efficiency, operating costs and provisions.

Asset quality will remain a major consideration.

A stable NPA position and controlled credit costs could support earnings resilience.

Management's commentary following the November 3 results will provide further clarity on the outlook for the remainder of FY27.

Conclusion

State Bank of India shares are in focus ahead of the bank's Q2 FY27 financial results scheduled for November 3, 2026.

Investors are monitoring loan growth, net interest margins, deposit mobilisation and asset quality as the country's largest public sector lender prepares to report its September-quarter performance.

Brokerage estimates suggest net interest income could increase approximately 11%–13% year-on-year to between ₹47,850 crore and ₹48,563 crore.

Net profit forecasts range from approximately ₹20,378 crore to ₹25,250 crore.

However, the previous year's earnings included a substantial gain from the sale of SBI's Yes Bank stake, making the headline profit comparison less straightforward.

Loan growth is expected to remain strong, while margins may decline modestly.

Deposit mobilisation and funding costs will be particularly important to the bank's ability to sustain profitability.

Asset quality indicators, including gross NPAs, net NPAs and credit costs, will provide further evidence of the strength of the loan portfolio.

The November 3 results and management commentary will help investors assess whether SBI can maintain earnings momentum while balancing credit expansion with financial stability.